ORIGINAL ARTICLE

Bacteraemia prediction in emergency medical admissions: role of C reactive protein

D H Wyllie², I C J W Bowler² and T E A Peto¹

¹ Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, John Radcliffe Hospital, Oxford OX3 9DU, UK
² Nuffield Department of Clinical Laboratory Sciences, University of Oxford, John Radcliffe Hospital

Correspondence to:
Correspondence to:
Dr D Wyllie
Nuffield Department of Clinical Laboratory Sciences, John Radcliffe Hospital, Oxford OX3 9DU, UK; david.wyllie{at}ndcls.ox.ac.uk

Aim: To define the contribution made by C reactive protein (CRP) measurement to bacteraemia prediction in adults with medical emergencies in the UK.

Methods: This two year cohort study involved 6234 patients admitted as emergency cases to the acute medical or infectious diseases services of the Oxford Radcliffe Hospitals, in whom blood cultures were taken on arrival. The main outcome measures were bacteraemia risk associated with admission CRP concentrations, lymphocyte counts, and neutrophil counts.

Results: The quantitative associations between CRP concentration, admission lymphocyte count, and neutrophil count were defined. Risk of bacteraemia rose continuously as the CRP increased: no "cutoff" value was evident. Models examining combinations of CRP, neutrophil count, and lymphocyte count were developed and validated using a split sample technique. CRP contributed to a model including lymphocyte and neutrophil counts, but its effect was small. CRP alone performed no better than either a model combining lymphopenia and neutrophilia, or than lymphopenia alone.

Conclusions: In patients with acute medical emergencies who are suspected of bacteraemia clinically, CRP concentrations, although associated with bacteraemia, have a limited role in bacteraemia prediction.

Abbreviations: AUC, area under the curve; CRP, C reactive protein; ROC, receiver operator characteristic

Keywords: bacteraemia; blood cell count; C reactive protein; sensitivity and specificity

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